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 Friday, January 04, 2008
High Hopes for Silver in 2008
Posted by tom
Some Expect High Prices for Silver in 2008
At least one forecaster, John Embry, with Toronto based Sprott Assett Managment, is predicting colossal gains for spot silver in 2008. He thinks circumstances are right for a near doubling in value for the most accessible precious metal.
Embry admitts that the market seems unaware of what he sees as significant indicators. In reality, I think most traders are quite aware of the dive of the dollar. The difference is that Embry is expecting a total debasement, while most others expect some form of rebound as the new year progresses.
Any way you look at it, I think volatile shifts up and down for the next few months in all the precious metals can be expected. Keep an eye on currencies and major commodities such as oil also, as they will have direct and opposite relationships with gold and silver prices.
Expect to hear a lot from both the Gold-Bug and History-Repeats-Itself camps in the news as metals remain at the focal point through the winter months. Keep in mind that each has their agenda and read what they say with your own logical balance.
For my part I do not see a ceiling just yet, but will be expecting a 1980's style fall once the dollar and our economy regain a foothold. But with unemployment figures on the rise there is no reason to expect people to shy away from gold and silver just yet.
News You Can Use
1/4/2008 4:00:11 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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Oceans Thirteen
Posted by tom
Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
Oceans Thirteen
My son is a big fan of the Danny Ocean movies starring George Clooney and directed by Steven Soderbergh. I guess I am too, as I saw the first one in the theater with my wife when it came out, then watched the second one on DVD and now bought the third one for my son for Christmas and watched it with him that very day.
Caper films
have always held an interest for me personally. In fact, I have a small collection of books on scams, bunco, and creative frauds, in addition to having greatly enjoyed the Dortmunder novels of Donald Westlake as well as most other highly detailed crime films and books. I may be one of the few people who actually enjoyed both versions of The LadyKillers.
Sooner or later Snatch is bound to make an appearance as one of my recommended films of the week and I may be one of the few people who owns a copy of Welcome to Collinwood. Yes, I just really like the intricacy and humor common to the big caper story. I even liked Woody Allen’s Small Time Crooks! Heists have appeal to me I guess, ever since Goodfellas found Lufthansa.
But back to Oceans Thirteen. If you enjoyed Oceans Eleven and Oceans Twelve, I'm pretty sure you will enjoy Oceans Thirteen. Most of the main characters are back, with the exception of Julia Roberts' Tess, and Al Pacino as Willie Bank is a great addition to the ever-expanding cast. This one moves along at a good pace and offers the same wry sense of humor common to the first two films and Matt Damon's Linus even gets to develop a bit with the audience learning more about his character than ever before.
The fact that the group is all coming together to rally around a fallen comrade heightens the emotion of this most recent rendition, so set aside a few hours and relish one of the best casts in modern film history.
Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
1/4/2008 12:49:53 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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Friday Fix
Posted by tom
Friday Fix
London pm fixes for 1-4-08
Gold $855.00
Silver $15.275
Platinum $1545.00
Palladium $372.00
Friday Fix
1/4/2008 11:23:45 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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Not Quite a Cashless Society Yet
Posted by tom
Cashless Society? Not Yet!
Just when you think we are all on the path towards a cashless society, up pops a story to remind you of the importance of cash in hand. Take a moment to read Bob Sullivan's morning posting on The Red Tape Chronicles blog and bask in the knowledge that currency still has a very important function in our daily lives.
Credit and Debit cards are great, but we all still carry a bit of cash in our wallets or purses, or at least we rely on access to cash through the handy corner ATM. Some may even rely on the ATM too heavily, especially during travel.
When I traveled to Costa Rica last year, most all of our group made use of an ATM at some point or another. Even some of the smaller towns had an ATM near the square. Over the Holidays my immediate family traveled to the Chicagoland area for extended family events and there too, when we ran short of cash, we scurried arround trying to locate an ATM.
If our card issuer had lowered withdrawal limits without notifying us in either of these instances, we would have been hard pressed to function. Some purchases would have been fine with use of a debit or credit cards, but try to buy a towel, shawl or shirt in an open air market in Costa Rica and see how far a piece of plastic will get you!
So, no matter how cute those Life Takes Visa perpetual motion commercials may be, let's not write cash off just yet. The world is no where near ready for a cashless society.
Tom's Inescapable Truths
1/4/2008 9:51:24 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Thursday, January 03, 2008
Gold Climbs Higher
Posted by tom
Gold Continues it's Run
After brief profit taking, Gold continued it's climb today, cracking the $865 barrier before slipping back to $862 as of this posting. Silver was pulled along too and sits at $15.36 as of this afternoon.
Crude oil
remains within sight of $100 a barrel and the dollar is floundering against most all other major currencies.
With it's new record price, it will be interesting to see what gold does next. Some are predicting an almost certain downturn in gold, similar to what the precious metals market experienced after the surge of 1980. Given that much of this current drive is based on speculative investment, I find myself thinking the same way. Without exceptionally strong demand from the jewelry trade and industrial sector, the only support gold has comes from the hopes of it's proponents. As of this moment however, those hopes are very strong and reflect a definitive lack of confidence in the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. economy.
News You Can Use
1/3/2008 3:36:24 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Huge Day for Gold
Posted by tom
Gold Shoots to $860
Gold has been riding high around the Holidays this year. Spot price has been on the rise for a couple of weeks, but this morning it shot through it's former roof to hit a mid-day high of $861 before settling back down to about $855 at the time of this posting.
Keep in mind that this slight dip is only due to profit taking. I would expect the drive to continue through the afternoon and would not be shocked if Gold touched $875 later in the day or tomorrow. Fueling this push is an ever weakening dollar and worries about the U.S. economy.
Long term expectations for gold, forcast in the first few weeks of December, were looking for a downturn into the New Year, however, so exercise caution. This drive will surely be followed by a stiff correction in the coming weeks or months. Volitility is to be expected.
Also along for the ride is silver, which again surpassed $15 and crude oil which hit $100 a barrel again today. Platinum and palladium both pushed ahead reaching over $1550 and $370 an ounce respectively.
News You Can Use
1/2/2008 2:51:47 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Monday, December 31, 2007
Year of the Dog
Posted by tom
Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
Year of the Dog
If you hadn't guessed by now, I like movies that are a little off the beaten track. This weeks film, written and directed by Mike White and starring Molly Shannon makes a path all it's own.
Year of the Dog
is a film, which avoids casual attachment to any specific genre. Some might call it a slice of life film, but because of its unusual perspective and unique attitudes I don't think it really fits there. It has comedy, especially from Josh Pais, John C. Reilly and Regina King, but also displays themes of isolation and independence. Simple in it's approach, but complex in personal interactions, Year of the Dog can leave you thinking long after the film is over. Some the ironies are obvious as you watch Laura Dern and Thomas McCarthy revel in their self-absorption, or Peter Sarsgaard drape himself in righteousness. Other notions will only occur to you later, when life’s little idiosyncrasies remind you of the main characters troubles in this film.
Mike White has a good reputation for noticing life’s imbalances and bringing them into his writing. Now we learn that he can also get the nuances down on screen through excellent casting and good direction. Year of the Dog isn't a big blockbuster, don't pick it up expecting action or adventure, but if you like quirky little films, like I do, give it a try.
Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
12/31/2007 5:19:03 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Friday, December 28, 2007
Friday Fix
Posted by tom
Friday Fix
London pm fixes for 12-28-07
Gold $833.75
Silver $14.75
Platinum $1530.00
Palladium $364.00
Friday Fix
12/28/2007 10:10:06 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Friday, December 21, 2007
Friday Fix
Posted by tom
Friday Fix
London pm fixes for 12-21-07
Gold $810.50
Silver $14.28
Platinum $1516.00
Palladium $355.00
Friday Fix
12/21/2007 1:37:31 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Thursday, December 20, 2007
Christmas on Film
Posted by tom
Tom's Recommended Film's of the Week
Seeing as how it will be Christmas in just a few days I decided to devote this weeks film recommendation to a short list of some of my favorite Christmas films. Some are recent works, some go back a ways, most are wacky, though all have that genuine feeling of the joy and love that embodies our cultural celebration of Christmas. Their central themes are, rightfully, about forgiveness, redemption and second chances.
Along with each film name, I'll give a very brief comment to give you an idea of why I like this particular entry.
Hope you enjoy this little venture, and please feel free to jump in and comment with your own choices for favorite Holiday classics!
Elf
- If you are still a kid at heart and you have a son under the age of 12 to watch this with, don't hesitate. Everyone needs to know the four main food groups according to Elf's.
A Christmas Story
- Everyone had a year like this, once upon a time. Everyone see's something in this movie which reminds them of their childhood in one way or another.
It's a Wonderful Life
- Who doesn't cry at the end of this film? Who hasn't desired this level of warmth and support of friends and family?
Miracle on 34th Street
- I just love the U.S. Postal System!
The Muppet Christmas Carol
- Though I don't like all the Muppet films, I do have a fondness for this one. This is my favorite version of this Dickens classic. Gonzo and Michael Caine are great!
Scrooged
- The whole cast is a delight in this film. It's like a circus, with Bill Murray as the Ring Master. This is my second favorite version of Dickens most loved Christmas tale.
Surviving Christmas
- Not the most loved Christmas film, but I did enjoy this quirky little gem. Not really for the children though.
Home Alone
- I can't count how many times I have watched this film with one or more of my children. When I tried to explain that all these painful looking tricks were really not hurting these people, as it was film illusion, my little five year old (now 19!) told me, "of course! It's just like a cartoon Dad!"
Trapped in Paradise
- Don't recall if this one actually takes place at Christmas, but it does embody the Christmas film spirit!
Jingle all the Way
- Blown way out of purportion? Maybe, but at some time or another everyone has struggled to find the popular toy for a special child. Phil Hartman is great and Arnold Schwarzenegger hangs on for dear life!
Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
12/20/2007 9:59:38 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Platinum Breaks Free!
Posted by tom
Platinum Rising - New Platinum Products Expand Choices
Short supply and heavy demand from both industry and investment circles have driven spot Platinum above the $1500 mark this morning. This is record territory for Platinum, which invites a strong investment interest. With gold ebbing and flowing between $785 and $815, Platinum must present a more vibrant opportunity to many impatient minds.
For numismatists seeking Platinum, there is the option of the new 10th Anniversary Platinum Eagle sets, which carry an excellent design and offer good tradability. A recent release of the US Mint these special Platinum Eagles are being currently sold at just about 30% over melt. At this price they may benefit from the timing of the current market drive, as small investors may find them a feasible option, while numismatists with the budget may want to obtain this special set for their collection. Of course, the normal proof and uncirculated Platinum Eagles are also available in one ounce and all the logical fractions.
Also new are the 2007 Platinum Britannia coins from the British Royal Mint. These have been struck in 25 and 10-pound versions for mass sale, but there was also a scarce four-piece set issued with two larger coins denominated 100 and 50 pounds. This set was limited to a mintage of 250 and I think it must have sold out already. The Brits are also issuing an Emblems of Britain set of Platinum coins for 2008. Here too the mintage will be tight at 250 sets, with seven old-style circulating coins struck in Platinum to celebrate the 40 years of service from these designs. In late spring 2008 the Royal Mint will issue newly redesigned circulating coins for Great Britain, so this Platinum set is being pitched as the "last of the old". The price for this set is about 5000 pounds. Similar collector sets are also being issued in gold, silver and the circulating base metals.
News You Can Use
12/18/2007 11:12:48 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Monday, December 17, 2007
Ireland, Great Britain & South Africa Closing Today
Posted by tom
Irish Proofs at Dix Noonan Webb Sale
Today is the closing of Dix Noonan Webb auction 76, which offers a nice selection of British, Irish and South Africa coins, along with various world coinage including German East Africa, India and some fine Medeival coins.
Of special interest are the short proof sets from Ireland. The first is lot 221, comprised of the threepence, penny halfpenny and farthing struck in proof, dated 1949. The second is a 1950 dated group including the sixpence, threepence and penny, also struck in proof. estimates for the two groups of coins are in the 5,000 to 6,000 pound range.
Irish proof strikes of the circulation types from these dates are quite rare and I was most interested to see what the drop of the hammer revealed for these brilliant beauties. Unfortunely both lots went unsold according to the prices realized list posted this morning. I wonder if there was a specific problem, or if they just failed to reach a reasonable reserve based on their lofty estimates?
Auction Lot of the Week
12/17/2007 1:45:01 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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